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Blog Entry 13 of 36 The Economic Illiterate
I hate politics. I didn't use to but somewhere between now and about 12 years ago politics has become a one-way street. It seems that anyone who is into politics knows only their street and it has become frustrating. I believe I can make the better argument (for the conservative side that is) with just the facts nearly every time. When it comes to mainstream discussion, I don't believe I've met my match. And it has gotten me all the way to nowhere and back again. But the free markets are a different story. It is a subject that one can study forever and never truly be an expert. To some degree we're all economically illiterate, some more than others. I would likely write mostly about the economic peril we face in this country. Of course if I see anything ridiculous posted by some leftie, I may find it difficult not to jump in even though I know it won't have any effect whatsoever.

The bailout
Contributed by: David Brown   on 9/28/2008

The results are in: $700 Billion. The Democratically controlled Congress, to their credit has kept the extraneous spending out of it. I've skimmed this bill (I didn't read all 110 pages) and I hate to admit it but this is about as good a bill we could expect from this Congress. That it will actually provide liquidity, this bill's original intention, is very questionable and in fact highly doubtful.


Here are the general details
:

There will be $250 billion up front, followed by another $100 billion installment. The final $350 billion must be approved by Congress. The Secretary of the Treasury will use this money to buy up the so-called toxic assets from banks that were originated before March 14, 2008. This bill gives the Secretary the ability to determine what he's going to pay for these assets.


In order for the Democrats to secure Republican support, insurance shall be purchased to "protect the taxpayers." The financial institutions that are being bailed out will pay premiums into a "fund." What I'm having trouble with is whether this so-called fund is a real, separate account or the same kind of fund that federal deposit insurance receipts and Social Security receipts are deposited into - in other words, the general fund. If it's the general fund, the taxpayers are no more "protected" than they would be if the Secretary just blew the money except the taxpayers would have yet another worthless IOU. I can't tell by reading the bill what's up here. Unfortunately, Sec. 102, (c) (2) sounds eerily like Title II, Section 201 (b) of the Social Security Act of 1935. It sounds like another IOU for which the taxpayer is on the hook upon redemption.

With a plethora of reporting requirements, this bill truly has transparency. Congress will receive updates until the money has been completely spent and with every sale of any troubled asset, an electronic version of the transaction will be generated and made public.


Revenues of sales of troubled assets are directly transferred to the Treasury, where they will likely be spent on new budget increases, no matter who controls Congress. The debt this bill secures is the American taxpayer's to keep forever.


I read the sections concerning foreclosure mitigation efforts but it doesn't sound any different than the $300 Billion mortgage bailout or the Hope Now bill that was passed last Spring. What is new though is protection for someone who is renting a unit that has gone into foreclosure.


My absolute favorite part of the bill is the part that begins on page 87. This bill gives the Secretary the authority to suspend mark-to-market accounting. Mark-to-market accounting was established back in November, 2007 and requires institutions to write down the market value of assets. Of course, the market value of many of these toxic assets has been zero and that's been responsible for the barrage of bank losses that have led to these institutions failing. However, common sense will tell you these are assets that are not worth zero - they still have intrinsic value even though the market won't acknowledge that. It is my fervent belief that this whole mess could be dealt with by addressing mark-to-market accounting including overhauling these assets.


If there is anything this bill offers that holds any promise at all, it's this Section 132. Further, the Secretary is required to perform a study of FASB Statement 157 that was enacted last November and changed the rules on mark-to-market accounting and report the results to Congress.


Regardless of this provision, I am not convinced this bill will provide the liquidity it seeks. There is precedent with The Bank of England who tried something similar to this bill and liquidity still has not returned to any level even close to "normal," after 6 months.


The market is not impressed. Six hours after Speaker Pelosi announced the text, futures are down around 1% and Asian and European markets are down around 2%.

After this pullback, I wouldn't be surprised to see a short-term bounce for a few days before we return to the overall trend, which is down.


I can't believe I read this bill!! Lord, please help me!




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Showing 1-9 of 9 comments
Submitted By: David Brown
posted on 9/30/2008 @ 9:35:14 PM
(Not Rated)
I have to admit, if I never found out that The Bank of England tried something similar to this and the results were a near failed attempt (it didn't do what they wanted but it did keep the credit markets from getting worse), I might have been persuaded to think this could have a chance IF they made it $1.5 Trillion instead of $700 Billion. Of course if they made it 1.5 Tril, everyone would have freaked and it wouldn't have flown.
Submitted By: David Brown
posted on 9/30/2008 @ 8:37:02 PM
(Not Rated)
Thanks Bing! The best way to help Joe & Jane Middle Class is to keep them working so they can make their mortgage payments. This is a core Republican philosophy. How do we do that? By finding a way to loosen the credit markets. How do we do that? One thing that will help is to suspend mark-to-market accounting. We'll need to do more. What has never, ever worked is throwing money at something and that's why I'm against this bailout - it simply won't work. When the credit markets freeze up, Joe and Jane soon finds themselves out of a job and foreclosure isn't far behind. So we need to un-freeze the credit markets and that's it and I'm sure there are people who know how to do that. The Senate is considering a bunch of BS right now and I hope it all fails.
Submitted By: Bing Van Gorden
posted on 9/30/2008 @ 6:38:16 PM
Rated Blog Entry
Great post David. I applaud your economic acumen however, the person on the street whose property value is plummeting and maybe or is facing foreclosure needs immediate help. I'd rather see the focus on the middle class.
Submitted By: David Brown
posted on 9/30/2008 @ 6:22:16 AM
(Not Rated)
Intersting - head after talking head on Bloomberg this morning is calling for suspension of mark-to-market accounting. Forget the darn study like the bill calls for - just can it!
Submitted By: C Anderson
posted on 9/30/2008 @ 1:35:07 AM
Rated Blog Entry
The George Bush legacy. What a way to cap 8 years. Neither Obama nor McCain can fix this no matter how hard their supporters use this to gain votes. It is way past that. We have a powerless Congress. The Republican Party is sharply divided between moderates and conservatives and may never recover from this. The possibility of a 3 party system may be the result. We suffer because of these politics. Regardless of the doom & gloom by David we can’t sit back and do nothing. That is what’s happening. The politics in DC mirror the politics here. This is a serious American problem. Get off that Republican elephant and Democratic donkey. Understand this country and its leaders must work together for a solution. That means compromise. Compromise is trying to understand the other side’s position and merging it with yours. It is understanding both sides have legitimate points that should be given equal weigh. It means you aren’t always right. Something many can’t accept in today’s selfish world.
Submitted By: Kellie Brown
posted on 9/29/2008 @ 11:07:59 PM
Rated Blog Entry
I agree! I agree! I agree! Credit dries up. Skyrocketing unemployment. If not depression then severe recession. Consumer spending pullback. More small business failures. More jobs lost from the economy with each failure. Less goods produced. Less profit. Increased cost passed on. Less tax dollars from reduced income and lost jobs. That includes sales tax revenue into communities. Stocks drop further. Retirement systems government & private lose value if not collapse. Purchasing power cut. More people unable to pay medical bills and forgo seeking treatment or receive sub-standard care. More foreclosures and more empty homes on the market. Rippling effects on the world economy. It took a matter of weeks to push us over the edge and it will take many years to recover. Shame, shame, shame on the no’s.
Submitted By: Sam Parker
posted on 9/29/2008 @ 10:46:28 PM
Rated Blog Entry
No to a plan that meant 3.5 billion that was not the Bush plan. With the other 3.5 billion to be determined by congress (your elected reps) meant yes to 1.2 trillion dollars lost from the economy in 6 hours. 1.2 trillion much of which was from the pockets of average citizens not the wealthy or corrupt. No and add to the quickly drying channels of credit that is the oil to our financial engine. No to being able to make payrolls. No to small business and farms that need credit to function. No to what? Your children’s future. To your country’s future. Yeah I am glad they played the political game and voted no. May they and those that share the NO Republican & Democrat burn in hell. They earned a place there today.
Submitted By: Brigette Rodriguez
posted on 9/29/2008 @ 7:22:18 PM
Rated Blog Entry
Nancy Pelosi needed to put her beer goggles on. This issue today show bi-partisanship in that many of the congress DID join hands and voted NO. Sad.
Submitted By: James Young
posted on 9/29/2008 @ 3:16:54 PM
Rated Blog Entry
Reality struck today. The very reality we see bantered about in these blogs. POLITICS! Republican and Democratic morons caught up in wanting to slam the other guy and the country suffers. That fact overrides what this country is faced with. A disaster that will make 9/11 seem a small irritation. A disaster impacting EVERY citizen to a degree none of us has ever experienced or expected. The sad part is people’s political philosophies and hatred of the opinion of their opposites governs common sense. I guarantee you if politics are not put aside and the government allowed to act, then within the 12 months many of you will lose your jobs, lose your homes, lose what potential retirement you may have coming, and lose your children’s future. This is one issue that Republicans and Democrats need to join hands on and put that BS rhetoric aside. If they can’t then all these insignificant self-serving political agendas will be the downfall of the greatest nation on earth. WAKE UP!!!
Showing 1-9 of 9 comments
CONTRIBUTOR INFORMATION

David Brown

Longmont , CO

David Brown has posted 36 blog entries and 462 comments since joining on 7/27/2008. David Brown 's average blog rating is 3.37.
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